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Fig. 5 | Movement Ecology

Fig. 5

From: Comparing maximum likelihood and Bayesian methods for fitting hidden Markov models to multi-state capture-recapture data of invasive carp in the Illinois River

Fig. 5

A comparison of movement probability estimates between several Markov-chain Monte Carlo chains that converged to different solutions. The color intensity of each cell indicates the magnitude of the estimated movement probability. Chains 1–3 converged to a solution that is biologically realistic (Scenario A); strong movement occurs only between adjacent pools on a monthly timestep. On the other hand, Chain 4 converges to a biologically unrealistic local optimum with a high probability of movement from Peoria directly into Dresden Island with very low movement probability among the pools in between (Scenario B)

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Movement Ecology

ISSN: 2051-3933