Table 2 Transition probability matrices for HMMs showing the probability of transitioning from each state at time t to time t + 1. Transition probabilities are displayed as estimates with 95% confidence intervals in parentheses
Model-1: Accelerometer and Magnetometer | |||
|  | STATE AT TIME t + 1 | ||
STATE AT TIME t | Flapping Flight | Soaring Flight | On-Water |
Flapping Flight | 0.778 (0.772, 0.783) | 0.204 (0.199, 0.209) | 0.019 (0.017, 0.020) |
Soaring Flight | 0.083 (0.080, 0.085) | 0.900 (0.898, 0.903) | 0.017 (0.016, 0.018) |
On-Water | 0.010 (0.009, 0.011) | 0.016 (0.015, 0.018) | 0.974 (0.017, 0.020) |
Model-2: Accelerometer only | |||
|  | STATE AT TIME t + 1 | ||
STATE AT TIME t | Flapping Flight | Soaring Flight | On-Water |
Flapping Flight | 0.781 (0.776, 0.786) | 0.194 (0.189, 0.199) | 0.025 (0.023, 0.027) |
Soaring Flight | 0.080 (0.078, 0.082) | 0.911 (0.908, 0.913) | 0.009 (0.008, 0.010) |
On-Water | 0.011 (0.010, 0.012) | 0.008 (0.007, 0.009) | 0.980 (0.979, 0.981) |