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Table 3 Candidate weather models formulated to explain variation in the timing of departure among autumn-migrating dabbling ducks in Illinois River valley, as detected by weather surveillance radar, 1995–2009, ranked by ascending Akaike’s Information Criterion (AIC). We included YEAR as a random effect in each model. wi indicates model weight and K indicates number of parameters used in each model

From: The effect of weather on the decision to migrate from stopover sites by autumn-migrating ducks

Model

ΔAIC

w i

K

WINDALOFTINDEX + CLOUDCOVERINDEX + PRECIPINDEX

0.00

1.00

3

WINDALOFTINDEX

39.10

0.00

1

PRESSURECHANGE

182.73

0.00

1

HABITAT

233.23

0.00

1

TEMPERATURE + MEANDAILYTEMPCHG24HR + SURFWINDSPD

235.84

0.00

3

MEANDAILYTEMPCHG24HR

241.78

0.00

1

TEMPERATURE

267.19

0.00

1

PRECIPINDEX

270.24

0.00

1

PRESSURE

272.39

0.00

1

CLOUDHEIGHTINDEX + CLOUDCOVER

275.27

0.00

2

CLOUDHEIGHTINDEX

276.57

0.00

1

CLOUDCOVER

285.39

0.00

1

CLOUDCOVERINDEX

285.66

0.00

1

DATE

287.32

0.00

1

DAILYMINT

292.71

0.00

1

Null

294.81

0.00

0