Figure 6

Connectivity probability matrix: columns are for the release sites, ordered from south to north (left to right) and rows represent the settlement sites from south to north (bottom to top). The colour scale represents the probability of connectivity between pairs of sites. Overall there is a dominant northward pattern, as reflected by probabilities in the top left half of the matrix. The rectangles represent: a) southward transport due to local coastline configuration and resulting circulation pattern, and b) westward transport and the importance of westward winds in the morning.