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Table 4 Comparison of the riparian capture-recapture data against predictive posterior data simulated based on the reference movement models

From: The dual role of rivers in facilitating or hindering movements of the false heath fritillary butterfly

  

Riparian data

Prediction (REF1)

Prediction (REF2)

Recaptured individuals

All

35

34.6 (24–47)

34.1 (22–47)

Males

17

16.4 (8–26)

16.5 (7–28)

Females

18

18.1 (11–25)

17.6 (10–25)

Number of recaptures

All

47

42.9 (28–59)

42.8 (26–63)

Males

23

19.1 (9–31)

19.5 (7–36)

Females

24

23.8 (13–35)

23.2 (12–36)

Recaptures in the location of previous capture

All

28

21.2 (12–31)

19.9 (11–30)

Males

12

9.8 (4–17)

9.4 (3–16)

Females

16

11.3 (6–17)

10.7 (5–17)

Recaptures in a different location

All

7

13.5 (6–21)

13.9 (6–24)

Males

5

6.5 (2–12)

7.1 (2–15)

Females

2

6.8 (2–12)

6.9 (2–13)

River crossings

All

4

7.5 (2–13)

8.4 (2–17)

Males

3

3.6 (0–8)

4.3 (0–11)

Females

1

3.9 (0–8)

4.2 (0–9)

  1. The table shows the number of individuals in the real riparian data that fall into each category and the posterior means (and 95% credibility intervals) of posterior predictive data simulated based on the parameters estimated for the reference populations The river has been assumed as low-quality matrix in the REF1 and REF2 predictions.