Figure 8

The effect of parameter uncertainty on movement predictions for female false heath fritillaries. The graph shows cross-sections of the hitting probabilities of simulated female false heath fritillaries in the artificial landscapes of Figure 6 parallel and perpendicular to the river (panels A-B) and the differences of the hitting probabilities between movements in artificial landscapes (panels C-D). The medians and 95% credibility intervals are based on 100 random samples from the posterior distribution of the generalized movement model.