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Table 1 Alternative models, the number and values of their parameters, and the goodness of fit statistics (coefficient of determination, R 2 , and the Akaike information criterion, AICc) for each model

From: Elephant movement closely tracks precipitation-driven vegetation dynamics in a Kenyan forest-savanna landscape

Model type

Model

R2

AICc

# of par.

"Surf" NDVI

Additional parameters

(i)

(1) Z = {Z| NDVI = "Surf"NDVI}

0.056

942.7

1

0.599

 

Individual

(2) Zi = {Z|NDVI = ("Surf"NDVI)i}

0.245

897.2

8

0.64; 0.62; 0.46; 0.62; 0.67; 0.51; 0.63; 0.55

 

Individual

(3) Zmi = a × Zi + b

0.501

790.7

10

Same as above

a = 0.58; b = 435.4

(ii)

(4) Zm = a × Z + b

0.462

796.5

3

0.239

a = 0.66; b = 650

 

(5) Zm = a × (exp(b × Z))

0.46

797.6

3

0.239

a = 737.8; b = 0.00057

 

(6) Zm = a × Z2 + b × Z + c

0.462

796.6

4

0.239

a = -2.782×10-5; b = 0.70;

c = 635.5

(iii)

(7) Zm = a × (dNDVI) + b × Z + c

0.48

789.66

4

0.239

a = -0.44; b = 0.66; c = 650.6

 

(8) Zm = a × (dNDVI+) + b × (dNDVI-) + c × Z + d

0.49

786.46

5

0.236

a = -0.71; b = 0.086; d = 0.64;

e = 680.4

  1. Z is the elevational location. "Surf"NDVI marks the parameterized target NDVI value the elephants will follow according to the hypothesis of "surfing the green wave". An underscore i marks an individual-based parameter set or location, Zm marks the resulting modified elevational location following a linear or non-linear surf model. A vertical bar marks a condition, i.e. {Z| NDVI = "Surf"NDVI} means Z where NDVI equals "Surf"NDVI.