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Table 1 Candidate models for discrete choice analysis

From: Environmental drivers of autumn migration departure decisions in midcontinental mallards

Model

Covariates

Notes

Null model

Choice set ID

Statistical null model

Temperature

Temp

Air temperature at 2 m (ºc)

Snow cover

Snow

Depth of snow cover (m)

Pressure difference

Press diff

Difference in barometric pressure to next record (Pa)

Precipitation

Precip

Accumulated water (rain, snow, freezing rain, hail) (kg/m2)

Cloud cover

Cloud

Total cloud cover (%)

Tailwind speed

Tail

Speed of wind with heading within ± 60º of mean relocation direction (m/s)

Headwind speed

Head

Speed of wind with heading greater/smaller than ± 60º of mean relocation direction (m/s)

Frost days

Frost days

Number of sequential days of temperature < 0ºc experienced by mallard at this location

Snow days

Snow days

Number of sequential days of snow depth ≥ 2.54 cm (1 inch) experienced by mallard at this location

Ice cover

Ice cover

Presence (y/n) of ice cover ≥ 1 cm on shallow water bodies

Full model

Temp + snow + press diff + precip + cloud + tail + head + frost days + snow days + ice cover

All covariates (n = 10)

Daily scale

Temp + snow + press diff + precip + cloud + tail + head

Shorter-term (daily) conditions

Multi-day scale

Frost days + snow days + ice cover

Longer-term (multi-day) conditions calculated as cumulative parameters

Winter conditions

Temp + snow + frost days + snow days + ice cover

Covariates specific to winter conditions (low temperature, snow, ice)