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Table 1 Posterior means and 90% credible intervals for the parameters of the ecological diffusion model with logistic growth estimated for the sea otter population in Southeast Alaska 1970 to 2020. The subscripts on θ and κ are abbreviations of the translocation sites shown in Fig. 1. Estimates of detection probabilities are provided in Appendix 2: Table 2

From: Diffusion modeling reveals effects of multiple release sites and human activity on a recolonizing apex predator

Parameter

Lower bound

Mean

Upper bound

β0 (intercept)

16.25

16.36

16.48

β1 (depth)

-1.89

-1.77

-1.66

β2 (distance to shore)

0.21

0.29

0.35

β3 (slope × depth)

0.14

0.22

0.29

β4 (shoreline complexity)

0.14

0.17

0.21

β5 (distance to towns)

0.37

0.45

0.55

β6 (Glacier Bay)

-0.37

-0.24

-0.10

β7 (fisheries closures)

-1.48

-1.34

-1.16

α0 (intercept)

-1.77

-1.66

-1.55

α1 (Glacier Bay)

2.78

3.16

3.58

α2 (fisheries closures)

0.12

1.87

6.91

γ (intrinsic growth)

0.28

0.29

0.31

Ï„ (overdispersion)

0.03

0.03

0.03

θMI (initial density)

119.65

147.53

175.46

θBI

8.06

9.75

11.40

θNI

8.33

9.96

11.63

θKB

65.41

98.90

132.59

θYB

8.36

10.01

11.69

θYI

63.74

96.18

128.84

θCS

68.19

98.82

130.55

κMI (initial dispersal)

25.41

28.78

32.20

κBI

1.37

2.54

3.80

κNI

4.42

9.11

13.90

κKB

0.51

0.63

0.78

κYB

0.80

2.23

3.79

κYI

4.17

8.49

12.40

κCS

4.59

9.23

13.91