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Table 1 Set of models fitted for Semipalmated Sandpiper survival analysis. There are twelve structures for annual survival (S), three structures for probability of resighting (p), and a single structure for transition probability (ψ), not shown here. The 36 models are presented in ascending order by ΔAICc

From: Oversummering juvenile and adult Semipalmated sandpipers in Perú gain enough survival to compensate for foregone breeding opportunity

Survival structure

Detection structure

N

AICc

Δ AICc

weight

Deviance

S(age + strategy+age*strategy)

p(age + season+age.season)

10

15,889.45

0.00

0.41

5554.57

S(age + strategy)

p(age + season+age.season)

9

15,891.20

1.74

0.17

5558.32

S(age + season+strategy+age*strategy)

p(age + season+age.season)

11

15,891.23

1.78

0.17

5554.34

S(age + season+strategy)

p(age + season+age.season)

10

15,892.54

3.08

0.09

5557.65

S(age + season+strategy+age*season+age*strategy)

p(age + season+age.season)

12

15,893.22

3.77

0.06

5554.31

S(strategy)

p(age + season+age.season)

8

15,894.13

4.68

0.04

5563.26

S(age + season+strategy+age*season)

p(age + season+age.season)

11

15,894.23

4.77

0.04

5557.33

S(season+strategy)

p(age + season+age.season)

9

15,894.93

5.48

0.03

5562.06

S(age)

p(age + season+age.season)

8

15,916.89

27.44

0.00

5586.02

S(age + season)

p(age + season+age.season)

9

15,918.79

29.33

0.00

5585.91

S(season)

p(age + season+age.season)

8

15,919.64

30.18

0.00

5588.76

S(age + strategy+age*strategy)

p(season)

9

15,920.33

30.87

0.00

5587.45

S(age + season+age*season)

p(age + season+age.season)

10

15,920.77

31.32

0.00

5585.88

S(age + season+strategy+age*strategy)

p(season)

10

15,922.14

32.68

0.00

5587.25

S(age + season+strategy+age*season+age*strategy)

p(season)

11

15,923.82

34.37

0.00

5586.92

S(age + strategy)

p(season)

8

15,926.58

37.13

0.00

5595.71

S(age + season+strategy)

p(season)

9

15,927.72

38.26

0.00

5594.84

S(age + season+strategy+age*season)

p(season)

10

15,928.41

38.95

0.00

5593.52

S(strategy)

p(season)

7

15,931.19

41.73

0.00

5602.32

S(season+strategy)

p(season)

8

15,931.55

42.10

0.00

5600.68

S(age + season+strategy+age*season+age*strategy)

p(age + season)

10

15,936.68

47.23

0.00

5601.79

S(age + strategy+age*strategy)

p(age + season)

8

15,937.69

48.24

0.00

5606.82

S(age + season+strategy+age*strategy)

p(age + season)

9

15,938.94

49.49

0.00

5606.06

S(age + season+strategy+age*season)

p(age + season)

9

15,939.24

49.79

0.00

5606.36

S(age + strategy)

p(age + season)

7

15,941.32

51.87

0.00

5612.45

S(age + season+strategy)

p(age + season)

8

15,942.31

52.86

0.00

5611.44

S(strategy)

p(age + season)

6

15,945.32

55.87

0.00

5618.46

S(season+strategy)

p(age + season)

7

15,945.72

56.27

0.00

5616.86

S(age)

p(season)

7

15,947.46

58.01

0.00

5618.59

S(age + season)

p(season)

8

15,949.38

59.93

0.00

5618.51

S(age + season+age*season)

p(season)

9

15,950.89

61.44

0.00

5618.01

S(season)

p(season)

7

15,951.94

62.49

0.00

5623.08

S(age)

p(age + season)

6

15,962.15

72.70

0.00

5635.29

S(age + season+age*season)

p(age + season)

8

15,963.11

73.66

0.00

5632.24

S(age + season)

p(age + season)

7

15,964.12

74.67

0.00

5635.25

S(season)

p(age + season)

6

15,965.74

76.29

0.00

5638.88