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Table 1 Input parameter sets and outputs of demogenetic simulations and variable importance (%incMSE) and rank (from highest to lowest variable importance) for 5 separate RF metamodels with input parameters as independent variables and outputs as dependent variables. Simulations carried out in a three-patch landscape with “source” and “arrival” breeding habitat patches separated by a “connectivity” patch with varying amounts of ‘dispersal habitat’ and varying ‘degrees of fragmentation’ (i.e. from 1 for randomly distributed dispersal habitat to 4 for large blocks of continuous dispersal habitat), for 3 different movement syndromes (MS 1: shy, MS 2: intermediate, MS 3: bold) and 3 sizes of the founder population

From: The boon and bane of boldness: movement syndrome as saviour and sink for population genetic diversity

Demogenetic model outputs/RF metamodel dependent variables (observations)Demogenetic model parameters/RF metamodel independent variables
Number of Founders: 10, 50, 100 [initial population size]Movement syndrome: Shy (MS.1), intermediate (MS.2), bold (MS.3) [shy-bold continuum] respectively; Pmatrix =0.03, 0.06, 0.12; Pc =50, 50, 50; Pmaxmat =10, 20, 40Amount of dispersal habitat: 0 (CS1), 10, 20, 30, 40, 60, 80, 100 (CS2) [%]Degree of fragmentation: 1, 2, 3, 4 [random - clumped continuum]
%incMSERank%incMSERank%incMSERank%incMSERank
Ho (163,862)473.161253.454346.392343.373
FST (104,082)13.044238.642312.301205.983
FIS (104,082)8.08451.61281.97149.593
Source patch λ (163,862)0.912−0.083318.991−1.044
Arrival patch λ (84,967)300.92188.983170.52283.464
Arrival patch Colonisation (163,862)−0.144170.383265.181183.132