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Table 2 Results of the spring and autumn models of arrival timing. The within- and between-species effects of the start of migration and total migration distance on arrival timing at the breeding areas (nspecies/populations = 17; nindividuals = 161) and wintering grounds (nspecies/populations = 21; nindividuals = 241) in migrant songbirds. Numeric variables were scaled. Significant effects are displayed in bold. To evaluate the biological effects of the estimates, the corresponding slopes were back-transformed into the original units of the equivalent traits (effect)

From: The start of migration correlates with arrival timing, and the total speed of migration increases with migration distance in migratory songbirds: a cross-continental analysis

Fixed effects

Modelling breeding area arrival timing

Modelling wintering ground arrival timing

Estimate

95% CrI

Effect [Julian date / unit of migratory trait]

Estimate

95% CrI

Effect [Julian date / unit of migratory trait]

β0 (intercept) [Julian date]

0.51

0.36–0.65

0.29

0.04–0.54

αW (within-species effect of the start of migration) [Julian date]

0.28

0.12–0.43

0.39

0.33

0.16–0.49

0.41

γW (within-species effect of the total migration distance) [km]

0.10

0.06–0.14

0.0023

0.02

−0.01 – 0.06

0.0012

αB (between-species effect of the start of migration) [Julian date]

0.40

0.27–0.53

0.56

0.62

0.39–0.85

0.77

γB (between-species effect of the total migration distance) [km]

0.10

0.03–0.17

0.0021

0.10

0.05–0.16

0.0048

Random effects

 Groups

Names

Std. dev.

  

Std. dev.

 

 Study species

intercept

0.064

  

0.065

 

Slope: within-species effect of the start of migration

0.244

  

0.263

 

 Residuals

 

0.055

  

0.048

 

 Marginal R2

 

0.54

  

0.39

 

 Conditional R2

 

0.82

  

0.79