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Table 6 Bayesian simple linear regression analyses of banded mongoose (northeastern Botswana, 2008 – 2011) responses in seasonal concentration of space use (area-probability integral) to factors putatively associated with association with humans, metabolic scaling theory, and the resource dispersion hypothesis

From: Association with humans and seasonality interact to reverse predictions for animal space use

Response variable Pred.a nb β c 95% HPDId % Post.e DICf Interp.g
Predictor     LB UB < 0 > 0   
Area-probability integral (dispersion of space use)  
Dry season  
Buildingsh - 9 −2.3×10−4 −6.2×10−4 1.5×10−4 90 10 -25.6 MC
Buildings (core)h - 9 −1.4×10−3 −3.4×10−3 6.1×10−4 93 7 -26.4 MC
Building densityh - 9 −2.1×10−2 −4.1×10−2 −1.5×10−3 98 2 -29.9 HC
Building density (core)h - 9 −1.4×10−2 −2.9×10−2 2.1×10−3 96 4 -28.1 HC
Macrofaunai - 9 −5.2×10−10 −1.4×10−8 1.1×10−8 60 40 18.2 U
Macrofauna (core)i - 9 1.7×10−8 −1.5×10−7 1.8×10−7 21 79 79.9 U
Macrofauna densityi - 9 −2.4×10−8 −1.2×10−6 6.0×10−7 44 56 31.7 U
Macrofauna dens. (core)i - 9 −5.2×10−7 −4.3×10−6 1.3×10−6 59 41 -17.7 U
Patch dispersion + 9 −9.2×10−3 −2.9×10−2 9.9×10−3 86 14 -24.8 U
Group size + 9 −4.4×10−4 −3.7×10−3 2.9×10−3 62 38 -23.1 U
Wet season  
Buildingsh - 8 −1.3×10−4 −4.5×10−4 1.9×10−4 84 16 -23.9 U
Buildings (core)h - 8 −1.9×10−4 −2.7×10−3 2.3×10−3 57 43 -22.3 U
Building densityh - 8 −2.2×10−2 −7.1×10−2 2.7×10−2 85 15 -24.0 U
Building density (core)h - 8 −1.5×10−2 −5.5×10−2 2.4×10−2 81 19 -23.6 U
Macrofaunai - 8 −2.8×10−10 −6.1×10−9 1.0×10−8 57 43 31.0 U
Macrofauna (core)i - 8 5.3×10−9 −6.0×10−8 6.4×10−8 32 68 49.6 U
Macrofauna densityi - 8 −2.5×10−8 −1.7×10−6 1.1×10−6 54 46 61.2 U
Macrofauna dens. (core)i - 8 3.9×10−8 −4.8×10−7 6.0×10−7 37 63 49.8 U
Patch dispersion + 8 −2.9×10−3 −2.3×10−2 1.7×10−2 64 36 -22.4 U
Group size + 8 −1.2×10−3 −6.9×10−3 4.6×10−3 69 31 -22.7 U
  1. aPrediction of relationship based on theory
  2. bNumber of mongoose groups used
  3. cEffect size
  4. dHighest posterior density interval (HPDI) with lower bound (LB) and upper bound (UB)
  5. ePercentage of posterior distribution below or above zero
  6. fDeviance information criterion
  7. gRevised interpretation of the result (posterior): moderate certainty (MC), high certainty (HC), uncertainty (U)
  8. hNumber of buildings in home range or density (buildings ha −1)
  9. iNumber of macrofauna items theoretically available in home range or density (macrofauna m −2)